Journal of Perinatology • September 2019
Gonski S, Hupp S, Cotton CM, Clark R, Laughon M, Watt K, Hornik CP, Smith PB, Greenberg RG
Aim to quantify the risk of treatment for retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) among infants meeting current U.S. screening guidelines. Among infants ≤1500 g birth weight or ≤30 weeks gestation screened for ROP from 2006-2015, we developed a risk prediction model to identify infants treated for ROP. Applied to 6,127 infants discharged in 2016, our model had 97.9% sensitivity, 63.3% specificity, positive predictive value of 4.0%, and negative predictive value of 99.9%. Large numbers of infants at low risk of developing ROP are required to undergo screening. Refining current ROP guidelines may reduce unnecessary examinations.